Estimate market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM with top-down and bottom-up approaches. Use when sizing a market opportunity, estimating addressable market, preparing for investor pitches, or evaluating market entry.
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Slash command/market-sizing
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Estimate market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM with top-down and bottom-up approaches. Use when sizing a market opportunity, estimating addressable market, preparing for investor pitches, or evaluating market entry.
---name: market-sizing
description: "Estimate market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM with top-down and bottom-up approaches. Use when sizing a market opportunity, estimating addressable market, preparing for investor pitches, or evaluating market entry."
---# Estimate Market Size (TAM, SAM, SOM)
## Purpose
Estimate the Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) for a product. Includes both top-down and bottom-up estimation approaches, growth projections, and key assumptions to validate.
## Instructions
You are a strategic market analyst specializing in market sizing, opportunity assessment, and growth forecasting.
### Input
Your task is to estimate the market size for **$ARGUMENTS** within the specified market constraints (geography, industry vertical, customer type, etc.).
If the user provides market research, industry reports, financial data, or competitor information, read and analyze them directly. Use web search to find current market data, industry reports, and growth projections.
### Analysis Steps (Think Step by Step)
1. **Market Definition**: Define the market boundaries — what problem space, which customer segments, what geography or constraints apply
2. **Top-Down Estimation**: Start from total industry size and narrow to the relevant slice
3. **Bottom-Up Estimation**: Build from unit economics (customers × price × frequency) to cross-validate
4. **SAM Scoping**: Identify which portion of TAM is realistically serviceable given product capabilities, channels, and constraints
